Combat Edge Intelligence

Bart Palaszewski vs Diego Nunes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Diego Nunes
br

Diego Nunes

“The Gun”

24-10-0LightweightCFS

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

36-17-0Record24-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team CurranTeamEvolucao Thai

What's at stake

Bart Palaszewski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Diego Nunes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bart PalaszewskiNow 1665
If they win+11→ 1676
If they lose-13→ 1652
Diego NunesNow 1639
If they win+13→ 1652
If they lose-11→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.67
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
33%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.59
58%
Strike defense
58%
0.65
Takedown avg.
1.18
31%
Takedown accuracy
45%
53%
Takedown defense
65%
0.52
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Bart PalaszewskiDiego Nunes
1650170020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

18 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (29%)
10 (28%)
Submission
10 (42%)
8 (22%)
Decision
7 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bart Palaszewski and Diego Nunes within a point of even.

Bart Palaszewski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1639, a 26-point edge.

Bart Palaszewski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bart Palaszewski finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Diego Nunes 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.