Bart Palaszewski vs Hatsu Hioki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
36-17-0Record29-12-2
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team CurranTeamAlive
What's at stake
Bart Palaszewski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Hatsu Hioki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1676
If they lose-13→ 1652
If they win+13→ 1653
If they lose-11→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bart PalaszewskiHatsu Hioki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bart Palaszewski52%
Hatsu Hioki 48%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Bart Palaszewski a 52% favorite over Hatsu Hioki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Bart Palaszewski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1640, a 25-point edge.
Bart Palaszewski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Hatsu Hioki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Bart Palaszewski finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Hatsu Hioki 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.