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Combat Edge Intelligence

Bart Palaszewski vs Lucas Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

36-17-0Record15-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team CurranTeamTeam Kioshi

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bart PalaszewskiNow 1664
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
Lucas AlmeidaNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1623 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.67
Sig. strikes / min
4.94
33%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.04
58%
Strike defense
45%
0.65
Takedown avg.
0
31%
Takedown accuracy
0%
53%
Takedown defense
54%
0.52
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bart PalaszewskiLucas Almeida
16501700201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

18 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
10 (28%)
Submission
5 (33%)
8 (22%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucas Almeida65%
Bart Palaszewski 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Almeida a 65% favorite over Bart Palaszewski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bart Palaszewski's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1664), separated by just 0 points.

Bart Palaszewski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bart Palaszewski finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Almeida 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.