Combat Edge Intelligence

Bart Palaszewski vs Tyson Griffin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

36-17-0Record17-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team CurranTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

Bart Palaszewski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Tyson Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bart PalaszewskiNow 1665
If they win+9→ 1674
If they lose-15→ 1650
Tyson GriffinNow 1584
If they win+20→ 1604
If they lose-12→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.67
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
33%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.30
58%
Strike defense
65%
0.65
Takedown avg.
1.87
31%
Takedown accuracy
47%
53%
Takedown defense
60%
0.52
Submission avg.
0.89

Trajectory

Bart PalaszewskiTyson Griffin
16001650170020112012201320142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

18 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
10 (28%)
Submission
3 (18%)
8 (22%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Bart Palaszewski60%
Tyson Griffin 40%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Bart Palaszewski a 60% favorite over Tyson Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Bart Palaszewski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1584, a 81-point edge.

Bart Palaszewski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bart Palaszewski finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Griffin 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.