Bartosz Fabinski vs Hector Urbina
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record17-11-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach73,0"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
WCA Fight Team· 1601 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeam
What's at stake
Bartosz Fabinski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Hector Urbina carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1654
If they lose-19→ 1622
If they win+15→ 1581
If they lose-9→ 1557
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bartosz FabinskiHector Urbina
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bartosz Fabinski and Hector Urbina within a point of even.
Bartosz Fabinski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1641 to 1566, a 75-point edge.
Hector Urbina enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Bartosz Fabinski finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Hector Urbina 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.