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Combat Edge Intelligence

Bartosz Fabinski vs Ilian Bouafia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record8-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'5"
TBDReach78"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
WCA Fight Team· 1600 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamBoxing Squad· 1645 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bartosz FabinskiNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625
Ilian BouafiaNow 1639
If they win+24→ 1663
If they lose-24→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.23
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
68%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
51%
Strike defense
Not available
7.10
Takedown avg.
Not available
71%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
80%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Bartosz FabinskiIlian Bouafia
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (13%)
8 (50%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Ilian Bouafia54%
Bartosz Fabinski 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ilian Bouafia a 54% favorite over Bartosz Fabinski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bartosz Fabinski's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1639), separated by just 2 points.

Bartosz Fabinski finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ilian Bouafia 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.