Combat Edge Intelligence

Bartosz Fabinski vs Jake Woodley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record8-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
WCA Fight TeamTeamTeam Bodyshop

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bartosz FabinskiNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Jake WoodleyNow 1636
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1488 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.23
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
68%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
7.10
Takedown avg.
TBD
71%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bartosz FabinskiJake Woodley
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (13%)
8 (50%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Jake Woodley63%
Bartosz Fabinski 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jake Woodley a 63% favorite over Bartosz Fabinski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1636), separated by just 2 points.

Jake Woodley enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Bartosz Fabinski finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jake Woodley 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.