Combat Edge Intelligence

Bartosz Fabinski vs Matthieu Duclos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
WCA Fight Team· 1652 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamVenum Training Camp Paris

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bartosz FabinskiNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Matthieu DuclosNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.23
Sig. strikes / min
3.93
68%
Strike accuracy
37%
1.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.81
51%
Strike defense
46%
7.10
Takedown avg.
0
71%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bartosz FabinskiMatthieu Duclos
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (80%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (50%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Matthieu Duclos70%
Bartosz Fabinski 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matthieu Duclos a 70% favorite over Bartosz Fabinski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bartosz Fabinski's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1634), separated by just 0 points.

Matthieu Duclos enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Bartosz Fabinski finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Matthieu Duclos 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.