Combat Edge Intelligence

Bartosz Fabinski vs Michel Prazeres

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record27-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight171 lbs
WCA Fight Team· 1652 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCoalizao Fight Team

What's at stake

Michel Prazeres is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Bartosz Fabinski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bartosz FabinskiNow 1634
If they win+22→ 1656
If they lose-10→ 1624
Michel PrazeresNow 1759
If they win+8→ 1767
If they lose-16→ 1743

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.23
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
68%
Strike accuracy
47%
1.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
51%
Strike defense
58%
7.10
Takedown avg.
3.94
71%
Takedown accuracy
36%
80%
Takedown defense
48%
0
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Bartosz FabinskiMichel Prazeres
1650170017501800202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (4%)
0 (0%)
Submission
11 (41%)
8 (50%)
Decision
15 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Michel Prazeres60%
Bartosz Fabinski 40%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Michel Prazeres a 60% favorite over Bartosz Fabinski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Michel Prazeres holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1759 to 1634, a 125-point edge.

Michel Prazeres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bartosz Fabinski finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Michel Prazeres 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.