Bartosz Szewczyk vs Paulin Begai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-1Record8-5-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
TBDReach-
206 lbsWeight206 lbs
WCA Fight Team· 1602 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamMMA Factory
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-16→ 1565
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bartosz SzewczykPaulin Begai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bartosz Szewczyk55%
Paulin Begai 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bartosz Szewczyk a 55% favorite over Paulin Begai in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paulin Begai's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1581), separated by just 1 points.
Bartosz Szewczyk finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Paulin Begai 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.