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Combat Edge Intelligence

Bas Rutten vs Curtis Blaydes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bas Rutten
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Bas Rutten

“El Guapo”

28-4-1Light Heavyweight

1781Great

Tale of the tape

28-4-1Record20-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
--Reach80"
205 lbsWeight256 lbs
TeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bas RuttenNow 1781
If they win+12→ 1793
If they lose-12→ 1769
Curtis BlaydesNow 1781
If they win+12→ 1793
If they lose-12→ 1769

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.59
Sig. strikes / min
4.18
61%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.76
79%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
5.12
Not available
Takedown accuracy
24%
0%
Takedown defense
35%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bas RuttenCurtis Blaydes
1750180020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (36%)
KO/TKO
13 (65%)
14 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (14%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Curtis Blaydes66%
Bas Rutten 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Blaydes a 66% favorite over Bas Rutten in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bas Rutten's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1781 vs 1781), separated by just 0 points.

Bas Rutten enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Bas Rutten finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Curtis Blaydes 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.