Combat Edge Intelligence

Bas Rutten vs Ivan Shtyrkov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bas Rutten
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Bas Rutten

“El Guapo”

28-4-1Light Heavyweight

1781Great

Tale of the tape

28-4-1Record23-2-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
--ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight237 lbs
TBDTeamArchangel Michael Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bas RuttenNow 1781
If they win+12→ 1793
If they lose-12→ 1769
Ivan ShtyrkovNow 1783
If they win+12→ 1795
If they lose-12→ 1771

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.59
Sig. strikes / min
0
61%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
79%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bas RuttenIvan Shtyrkov
18002007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (36%)
KO/TKO
11 (48%)
14 (50%)
Submission
5 (22%)
4 (14%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Ivan Shtyrkov52%
Bas Rutten 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ivan Shtyrkov a 52% favorite over Bas Rutten in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1781 vs 1783), separated by just 2 points.

Bas Rutten enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Bas Rutten finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Ivan Shtyrkov 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.