Bas Rutten vs Tsuyoshi Kosaka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-4-1Record28-21-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height5'11"
--ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight214 lbs
TeamAlliance-Square
What's at stake
Bas Rutten is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Tsuyoshi Kosaka carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1788
If they lose-17→ 1764
If they win+17→ 1634
If they lose-7→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bas Rutten75%
Tsuyoshi Kosaka 25%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Bas Rutten a 75% favorite over Tsuyoshi Kosaka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Bas Rutten holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1617, a 164-point edge.
Bas Rutten enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Bas Rutten finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Tsuyoshi Kosaka 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.