Combat Edge Intelligence

Bassil Hafez vs Carlos Newton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bassil Hafez
us

Bassil Hafez

“The Habibi”

9-5-1WelterweightUFC

1584Solid

Tale of the tape

9-5-1Record16-14-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'9"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight174 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamWarrior MMA Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bassil HafezNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Carlos NewtonNow 1585
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
0.65
38%
Strike accuracy
41%
5.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.55
42%
Strike defense
45%
2.21
Takedown avg.
2.47
24%
Takedown accuracy
71%
50%
Takedown defense
44%
0
Submission avg.
0.90

Trajectory

Bassil HafezCarlos Newton
160020082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
4 (44%)
Submission
10 (63%)
4 (44%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Bassil Hafez57%
Carlos Newton 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bassil Hafez a 57% favorite over Carlos Newton in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carlos Newton's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1585), separated by just 1 points.

Bassil Hafez finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Carlos Newton 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.