Bassil Hafez vs Jonathan Rivera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-1Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamTeam Awesome
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bassil HafezJonathan Rivera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonathan Rivera55%
Bassil Hafez 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Rivera a 55% favorite over Bassil Hafez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1586), separated by just 2 points.
Jonathan Rivera enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Bassil Hafez finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Rivera 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.