Bassil Hafez vs Oban Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-1Record12-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
72"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamShore MMA
What's at stake
Oban Elliott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Bassil Hafez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1603
If they lose-13→ 1571
If they win+13→ 1663
If they lose-19→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bassil HafezOban Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Oban Elliott71%
Bassil Hafez 29%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Oban Elliott a 71% favorite over Bassil Hafez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Oban Elliott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1584, a 66-point edge.
Oban Elliott enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bassil Hafez finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Oban Elliott 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.