Combat Edge Intelligence

Batgerel Danaa vs Kevin Natividad

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record9-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
70"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamArizona Combat Sports

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Batgerel DanaaNow 1617
If they win+15→ 1632
If they lose-17→ 1600
Kevin NatividadNow 1604
If they win+17→ 1621
If they lose-15→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.38
Sig. strikes / min
2.68
37%
Strike accuracy
34%
4.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.29
47%
Strike defense
48%
0.52
Takedown avg.
3.66
50%
Takedown accuracy
50%
63%
Takedown defense
83%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Batgerel DanaaKevin Natividad
16001650202120222023

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
2 (17%)
Submission
1 (11%)
2 (17%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Natividad56%
Batgerel Danaa 44%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Natividad a 56% favorite over Batgerel Danaa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Batgerel Danaa's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1604), separated by just 13 points.

Batgerel Danaa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kevin Natividad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Batgerel Danaa finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Natividad 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.