Combat Edge Intelligence

Baisangur Susurkaev vs Costello van Steenis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-0-0Record18-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
79"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamMMA Vlaardingen· 1681 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Baisangur SusurkaevNow 1748
If they win+16→ 1764
If they lose-16→ 1732
Costello van SteenisNow 1752
If they win+16→ 1768
If they lose-16→ 1736

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.56
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
59%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
2.76
Takedown avg.
TBD
29%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.69
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Baisangur SusurkaevCostello van Steenis
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (75%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
2 (17%)
Submission
8 (47%)
1 (8%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Baisangur Susurkaev60%
Costello van Steenis 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Baisangur Susurkaev a 60% favorite over Costello van Steenis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Costello van Steenis's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1748 vs 1752), separated by just 4 points.

Baisangur Susurkaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Costello van Steenis enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Baisangur Susurkaev finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Costello van Steenis 82%.

Baisangur Susurkaev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.