Combat Edge Intelligence

Bec Rawlings vs Eimear Darcy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record3-3-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
64,0"Reach-
116 lbsWeight126 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamCompound Martial Arts

What's at stake

Bec Rawlings is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Eimear Darcy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bec RawlingsNow 1503
If they win+15→ 1518
If they lose-17→ 1486
Eimear DarcyNow 1479
If they win+26→ 1505
If they lose-22→ 1457

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.48
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0.71
Takedown avg.
TBD
40%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
68%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.36
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bec RawlingsEimear Darcy
15001550201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
4 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (38%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Eimear Darcy53%
Bec Rawlings 47%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Eimear Darcy a 53% favorite over Bec Rawlings in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bec Rawlings's way (47%).

Bec Rawlings holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1503 to 1479, a 24-point edge.

Eimear Darcy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bec Rawlings finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Eimear Darcy 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.