Combat Edge Intelligence

Bec Rawlings vs Ilara Joanne

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ilara Joanne
br

Ilara Joanne

“Arya Stark”

13-11-0FlyweightPFL

1522Average

Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record13-11-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'3"
64,0"Reach64"
116 lbsWeight125 lbs
Alliance MMATeamPitbull Brothers

What's at stake

Ilara Joanne is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Bec Rawlings carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bec RawlingsNow 1503
If they win+17→ 1520
If they lose-15→ 1488
Ilara JoanneNow 1522
If they win+15→ 1537
If they lose-17→ 1505

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.48
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0.71
Takedown avg.
TBD
40%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
68%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.36
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bec RawlingsIlara Joanne
15001550201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
4 (50%)
Submission
3 (23%)
3 (38%)
Decision
6 (46%)

Combat Edge model read

Ilara Joanne62%
Bec Rawlings 38%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Ilara Joanne a 62% favorite over Bec Rawlings in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Ilara Joanne holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1522 to 1503, a 19-point edge.

Bec Rawlings finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Ilara Joanne 54%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.