Bec Rawlings vs Ilara Joanne
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-9-0Record13-11-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'3"
64,0"Reach64"
116 lbsWeight125 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamPitbull Brothers· 1626 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Ilara Joanne is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Bec Rawlings carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1519
If they lose-15→ 1487
If they win+15→ 1538
If they lose-17→ 1506
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bec RawlingsIlara Joanne
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ilara Joanne63%
Bec Rawlings 37%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Ilara Joanne a 63% favorite over Bec Rawlings in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Ilara Joanne holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1523 to 1502, a 21-point edge.
Bec Rawlings finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Ilara Joanne 54%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.