Combat Edge Intelligence

Bec Rawlings vs Jessica-Rose Clark

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record11-9-0
StrawweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
64,0"Reach64"
116 lbsWeight135 lbs
Alliance MMATeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

Jessica-Rose Clark is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Bec Rawlings carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bec RawlingsNow 1503
If they win+18→ 1521
If they lose-14→ 1489
Jessica-Rose ClarkNow 1543
If they win+14→ 1557
If they lose-18→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.48
Sig. strikes / min
3.73
43%
Strike accuracy
52%
5.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.51
57%
Strike defense
58%
0.71
Takedown avg.
1.66
40%
Takedown accuracy
43%
68%
Takedown defense
63%
0.36
Submission avg.
0.28

Trajectory

Bec RawlingsJessica-Rose Clark
150015501600201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
4 (50%)
Submission
2 (18%)
3 (38%)
Decision
6 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Jessica-Rose Clark51%
Bec Rawlings 49%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Jessica-Rose Clark a 51% favorite over Bec Rawlings in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Jessica-Rose Clark holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1543 to 1503, a 40-point edge.

Jessica-Rose Clark enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bec Rawlings finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Jessica-Rose Clark 45%.

Bec Rawlings and Jessica-Rose Clark share 1 common opponent: Paige VanZant.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2016
Paige VanZant
WinDEC · 2018