
Bec Rawlings vs Jessica-Rose Clark
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Jessica-Rose Clark is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Bec Rawlings carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Jessica-Rose Clark a 51% favorite over Bec Rawlings in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Jessica-Rose Clark holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1543 to 1503, a 40-point edge.
Jessica-Rose Clark enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Bec Rawlings finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Jessica-Rose Clark 45%.
Bec Rawlings and Jessica-Rose Clark share 1 common opponent: Paige VanZant.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.