Combat Edge Intelligence

Bec Rawlings vs Tecia Pennington

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record15-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'6"Height5'1"
64,0"Reach60″
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Alliance MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Tecia Pennington is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Bec Rawlings carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bec RawlingsNow 1503
If they win+23→ 1526
If they lose-9→ 1494
Tecia PenningtonNow 1658
If they win+9→ 1667
If they lose-23→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.48
Sig. strikes / min
4.78
43%
Strike accuracy
48%
5.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.48
57%
Strike defense
62%
0.71
Takedown avg.
0.54
40%
Takedown accuracy
14%
68%
Takedown defense
62%
0.36
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Bec RawlingsTecia Pennington
150015501600165020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
4 (50%)
Submission
1 (7%)
3 (38%)
Decision
13 (87%)

Combat Edge model read

Tecia Pennington73%
Bec Rawlings 27%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Tecia Pennington a 73% favorite over Bec Rawlings in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Tecia Pennington holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1503, a 155-point edge.

Bec Rawlings finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Tecia Pennington 13%.

Bec Rawlings carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.