Combat Edge Intelligence

Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu vs Justin Scoggins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-0-0Record15-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'7"
-Reach66,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
KatranTeamRevolution Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bektur Zhenishbek UuluNow 1615
If they win+24→ 1639
If they lose-24→ 1591
Justin ScogginsNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.42
TBD
Takedown accuracy
64%
TBD
Takedown defense
83%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.45

Trajectory

Bektur Zhenishbek UuluJustin Scoggins
155016001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
2 (40%)
Submission
2 (13%)
2 (40%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu66%
Justin Scoggins 34%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu a 66% favorite over Justin Scoggins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin Scoggins's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1619), separated by just 4 points.

Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Justin Scoggins 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.