Bekzat Almakhan vs Brad Katona
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record14-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Triumph FightsTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Bekzat Almakhan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Brad Katona carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1678
If they lose-17→ 1646
If they win+17→ 1665
If they lose-15→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bekzat AlmakhanBrad Katona
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bekzat Almakhan64%
Brad Katona 36%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Bekzat Almakhan a 64% favorite over Brad Katona in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Bekzat Almakhan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1663 to 1648, a 15-point edge.
Bekzat Almakhan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Katona enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bekzat Almakhan finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Brad Katona 29%.
Bekzat Almakhan and Brad Katona share 1 common opponent: Jean Matsumoto.
Bekzat Almakhan carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.