Bekzat Almakhan vs Brad Katona
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record14-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Triumph FightsTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bekzat AlmakhanBrad Katona
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bekzat Almakhan64%
Brad Katona 36%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Bekzat Almakhan a 64% favorite over Brad Katona in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1655), separated by just 8 points.
Bekzat Almakhan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Katona enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bekzat Almakhan finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Brad Katona 29%.
Bekzat Almakhan and Brad Katona share 1 common opponent: Jean Matsumoto.
Bekzat Almakhan carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.