Combat Edge Intelligence

Bekzat Almakhan vs Joe Soto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Soto
us

Joe Soto

“One Bad Mofo”

18-7-0BantamweightUFC

1664Good

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record18-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"Reach65,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Triumph FightsTeamCentral Valley Combat Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bekzat AlmakhanNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Joe SotoNow 1664
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.61
Sig. strikes / min
3.36
34%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.37
37%
Strike defense
67%
0
Takedown avg.
0.85
0%
Takedown accuracy
21%
42%
Takedown defense
70%
0
Submission avg.
1.91

Trajectory

Bekzat AlmakhanJoe Soto
1650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (83%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
1 (8%)
Submission
10 (56%)
1 (8%)
Decision
3 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Bekzat Almakhan71%
Joe Soto 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bekzat Almakhan a 71% favorite over Joe Soto in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Soto's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1664), separated by just 1 points.

Bekzat Almakhan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joe Soto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bekzat Almakhan finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Joe Soto 83%.

Bekzat Almakhan carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.