Combat Edge Intelligence

Bekzat Almakhan vs Muin Gafurov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record20-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Triumph FightsTeamTaj-Fighter

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bekzat AlmakhanNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Muin GafurovNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.61
Sig. strikes / min
2.89
34%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.21
37%
Strike defense
53%
0
Takedown avg.
1.47
0%
Takedown accuracy
26%
42%
Takedown defense
70%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bekzat AlmakhanMuin Gafurov
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (83%)
KO/TKO
10 (50%)
1 (8%)
Submission
7 (35%)
1 (8%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bekzat Almakhan and Muin Gafurov within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1663), separated by just 1 points.

Bekzat Almakhan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bekzat Almakhan finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Muin Gafurov 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.