Belal Muhammad vs Curtis Millender
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-6-0Record22-13-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'3"
72''Reach78"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
RoufusportTeamCSW
What's at stake
Belal Muhammad is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Curtis Millender carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1811
If they lose-18→ 1787
If they win+18→ 1614
If they lose-6→ 1590
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1769 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Belal MuhammadCurtis Millender
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Belal Muhammad92%
Curtis Millender 8%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Belal Muhammad a 92% favorite over Curtis Millender in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Belal Muhammad holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1805 to 1596, a 209-point edge.
Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Curtis Millender enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Belal Muhammad finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Curtis Millender 32%.
Curtis Millender carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.