Belal Muhammad vs Dhiego Lima
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-6-0Record15-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'2"
72''ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
RoufusportTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta
What's at stake
Belal Muhammad is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Dhiego Lima carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1810
If they lose-19→ 1786
If they win+26→ 1579
If they lose-6→ 1547
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1769 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Belal MuhammadDhiego Lima
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Belal Muhammad84%
Dhiego Lima 16%Elo baseline: 81%
The Combat Edge model makes Belal Muhammad a 84% favorite over Dhiego Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (81%).
Belal Muhammad holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1805 to 1553, a 252-point edge.
Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dhiego Lima enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Belal Muhammad finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Dhiego Lima 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.