Belal Muhammad vs Gabriel Bonfim
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-6-0Record20-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72''Reach72″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Roufusport· 1703 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamCerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1817
If they lose-12→ 1793
If they win+16→ 1825
If they lose-16→ 1793
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1769 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Belal MuhammadGabriel Bonfim
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Bonfim63%
Belal Muhammad 37%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Bonfim a 63% favorite over Belal Muhammad in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1805 vs 1809), separated by just 4 points.
Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gabriel Bonfim enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Belal Muhammad finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Gabriel Bonfim 85%.
Belal Muhammad and Gabriel Bonfim share 1 common opponent: Stephen Thompson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.