Belal Muhammad vs Gilbert Burns
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-6-0Record22-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72''Reach 71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
RoufusportTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Belal Muhammad is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Gilbert Burns carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1815
If they lose-14→ 1791
If they win+14→ 1758
If they lose-10→ 1734
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1769 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1777 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Belal MuhammadGilbert Burns
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Belal Muhammad71%
Gilbert Burns 29%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Belal Muhammad a 71% favorite over Gilbert Burns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Belal Muhammad holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1805 to 1744, a 61-point edge.
Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Belal Muhammad finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Burns 68%.
Belal Muhammad and Gilbert Burns share 3 common opponents: Jack Della Maddalena, Sean Brady and Stephen Thompson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.