Combat Edge Intelligence

Belal Muhammad vs Leon Edwards

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Belal Muhammad
us

Belal Muhammad

“Remember the Name”

24-6-0WelterweightUFC

1805Great

Tale of the tape

24-6-0Record22-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72''Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Roufusport· 1703 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamTeam Renegade· 1731 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Belal MuhammadNow 1805
If they win+12→ 1817
If they lose-12→ 1793
Leon EdwardsNow 1796
If they win+12→ 1808
If they lose-12→ 1784

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1769 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1780 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.36
Sig. strikes / min
2.62
42%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
55%
Strike defense
53%
1.98
Takedown avg.
1.18
12%
Takedown accuracy
36%
91%
Takedown defense
64%
0.13
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Belal MuhammadLeon Edwards
18001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (21%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
1 (4%)
Submission
3 (14%)
18 (75%)
Decision
12 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Belal Muhammad52%
Leon Edwards 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Belal Muhammad a 52% favorite over Leon Edwards in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1805 vs 1796), separated by just 9 points.

Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Leon Edwards enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Belal Muhammad finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Leon Edwards 45%.

Belal Muhammad and Leon Edwards share 1 common opponent: Sean Brady.

Leon Edwards carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO · 2022
Sean Brady
Loss Submission · 2025