Combat Edge Intelligence

Belal Muhammad vs Magomed Magomedkerimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Belal Muhammad
us

Belal Muhammad

“Remember the Name”

24-6-0WelterweightUFC

1805Great

Tale of the tape

24-6-0Record34-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
72''Reach73.00"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
RoufusportTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Belal MuhammadNow 1805
If they win+12→ 1817
If they lose-12→ 1793
Magomed MagomedkerimovNow 1800
If they win+12→ 1812
If they lose-12→ 1788

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1769 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.43
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
2.14
Takedown avg.
TBD
37%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
90%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.14
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Belal MuhammadMagomed Magomedkerimov
17501800185020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (21%)
KO/TKO
13 (38%)
1 (4%)
Submission
10 (29%)
18 (75%)
Decision
11 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Magomedkerimov58%
Belal Muhammad 42%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Magomedkerimov a 58% favorite over Belal Muhammad in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Belal Muhammad's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1805 vs 1800), separated by just 5 points.

Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Magomed Magomedkerimov enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Belal Muhammad finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Magomedkerimov 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.