Belal Muhammad vs Randy Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-6-0Record20-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'3"
72''Reach78"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
RoufusportTeamBudokan Martial Arts Academy
What's at stake
Belal Muhammad is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Randy Brown carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1815
If they lose-14→ 1791
If they win+14→ 1756
If they lose-10→ 1732
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1769 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1728 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Belal MuhammadRandy Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Belal Muhammad63%
Randy Brown 37%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Belal Muhammad a 63% favorite over Randy Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Belal Muhammad holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1805 to 1742, a 63-point edge.
Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Randy Brown enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Belal Muhammad finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Randy Brown 65%.
Belal Muhammad and Randy Brown share 2 common opponents: Gabriel Bonfim and Jack Della Maddalena.
Randy Brown carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.