Belal Muhammad vs Takashi Sato
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-6-0Record15-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72''Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Roufusport· 1703 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Belal Muhammad is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Takashi Sato carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1810
If they lose-19→ 1786
If they win+19→ 1598
If they lose-5→ 1574
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1769 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Belal MuhammadTakashi Sato
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Belal Muhammad89%
Takashi Sato 11%Elo baseline: 79%
The Combat Edge model makes Belal Muhammad a 89% favorite over Takashi Sato in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).
Belal Muhammad holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1805 to 1579, a 226-point edge.
Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Takashi Sato enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Belal Muhammad finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Takashi Sato 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.