Belal Muhammad vs Tim Means
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-6-0Record33-17-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'2"
72''Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Roufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamFit NHB
What's at stake
Belal Muhammad is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Tim Means carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1812
If they lose-17→ 1788
If they win+17→ 1662
If they lose-7→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1769 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Belal MuhammadTim Means
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Belal Muhammad85%
Tim Means 15%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Belal Muhammad a 85% favorite over Tim Means in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Belal Muhammad holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1805 to 1645, a 160-point edge.
Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Tim Means enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Belal Muhammad finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Tim Means 76%.
Tim Means carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.