Belal Muhammad vs Vicente Luque
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
24-6-0Record24-12-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
72''Reach75″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
RoufusportTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Belal Muhammad is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Vicente Luque carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1814
If they lose-15→ 1790
If they win+15→ 1738
If they lose-9→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1769 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1731 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Belal MuhammadVicente Luque
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Belal Muhammad70%
Vicente Luque 30%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Belal Muhammad a 70% favorite over Vicente Luque in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Belal Muhammad holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1805 to 1723, a 82-point edge.
Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Belal Muhammad finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Luque 88%.
Vicente Luque carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.