Belal Muhammad vs Vicente Luque
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
24-6-0Record24-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
72''Reach75″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Roufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Belal Muhammad is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Vicente Luque carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1814
If they lose-15→ 1790
If they win+15→ 1722
If they lose-9→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1769 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Belal MuhammadVicente Luque
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vicente Luque53%
Belal Muhammad 47%Elo baseline: 36%
The Combat Edge model makes Vicente Luque a 53% favorite over Belal Muhammad in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Belal Muhammad's way (36%).
Belal Muhammad holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1805 to 1707, a 98-point edge.
Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Belal Muhammad finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Luque 88%.
Vicente Luque carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.