Ben Askren vs Carlos Prates
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-2-0Record24-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"Reach78″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
RoufusportTeamVale Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1808
If they lose-16→ 1776
If they win+12→ 1796
If they lose-12→ 1772
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1708 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ben AskrenCarlos Prates
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Prates70%
Ben Askren 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Prates a 70% favorite over Ben Askren in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ben Askren's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1792 vs 1784), separated by just 8 points.
Ben Askren enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carlos Prates enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ben Askren finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Carlos Prates 92%.
Carlos Prates carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.