Ben Askren vs Demian Maia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-2-0Record28-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
RoufusportTeamDemian Maia Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Ben Askren is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Demian Maia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1807
If they lose-17→ 1775
If they win+13→ 1787
If they lose-11→ 1763
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1768 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ben AskrenDemian Maia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ben Askren68%
Demian Maia 32%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Ben Askren a 68% favorite over Demian Maia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Ben Askren holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1792 to 1774, a 18-point edge.
Ben Askren enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Demian Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ben Askren finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Demian Maia 61%.
Ben Askren and Demian Maia share 1 common opponent: Jorge Masvidal.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.