Ben Askren vs Jorge Masvidal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-2-0Record35-17-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
72"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
RoufusportTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Ben Askren is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jorge Masvidal carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1806
If they lose-18→ 1774
If they win+14→ 1754
If they lose-10→ 1730
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1781 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ben AskrenJorge Masvidal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ben Askren72%
Jorge Masvidal 28%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Ben Askren a 72% favorite over Jorge Masvidal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Ben Askren holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1792 to 1740, a 52-point edge.
Ben Askren enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jorge Masvidal enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ben Askren finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Masvidal 51%.
Ben Askren and Jorge Masvidal share 1 common opponent: Demian Maia.
Jorge Masvidal carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.