Ben Askren vs Robbie Lawler
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-2-0Record30-16-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
72"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Roufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1811
If they lose-16→ 1779
If they win+12→ 1800
If they lose-12→ 1776
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ben AskrenRobbie Lawler
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Robbie Lawler56%
Ben Askren 44%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Robbie Lawler a 56% favorite over Ben Askren in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ben Askren's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1795 vs 1788), separated by just 7 points.
Ben Askren enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ben Askren finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Robbie Lawler 77%.
Robbie Lawler carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.