Ben Askren vs Shamil Musaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-2-0Record18-1-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
RoufusportTeamGolden Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1807
If they lose-17→ 1775
If they win+17→ 1797
If they lose-15→ 1765
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ben AskrenShamil Musaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shamil Musaev72%
Ben Askren 28%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Musaev a 72% favorite over Ben Askren in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ben Askren's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1792 vs 1780), separated by just 12 points.
Ben Askren enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ben Askren finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Musaev 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.