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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Earwood vs Chris Lytle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Lytle
us

Chris Lytle

“Lights Out”

31-18-5WelterweightB2GS

1706Good

Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record31-18-5
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Miletich Martial ArtsTeamIntegrated Fighting Academy

What's at stake

Chris Lytle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ben Earwood carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ben EarwoodNow 1614
If they win+20→ 1634
If they lose-12→ 1602
Chris LytleNow 1706
If they win+9→ 1715
If they lose-15→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.50
Sig. strikes / min
3.76
56%
Strike accuracy
45%
0.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.03
33%
Strike defense
58%
3
Takedown avg.
0.70
100%
Takedown accuracy
55%
0%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
2.36

Trajectory

Ben EarwoodChris Lytle
1550160016501700200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (19%)
6 (60%)
Submission
19 (61%)
2 (20%)
Decision
6 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Lytle74%
Ben Earwood 26%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Lytle a 74% favorite over Ben Earwood in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Chris Lytle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1614, a 92-point edge.

Ben Earwood finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Chris Lytle 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.