Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Earwood vs Gary Balletto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record11-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReach70"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Miletich Martial ArtsTeamTri-Force MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ben EarwoodNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Gary BallettoNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.50
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
56%
Strike accuracy
TBD
0.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
33%
Strike defense
TBD
3
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ben EarwoodGary Balletto
155016001650200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
6 (60%)
Submission
7 (64%)
2 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gary Balletto59%
Ben Earwood 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gary Balletto a 59% favorite over Ben Earwood in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1616), separated by just 2 points.

Ben Earwood finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Gary Balletto 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.