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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Holscher vs Jacob Rosales

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record16-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReach74,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1639 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamCSW· 1624 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ben HolscherNow 1584
If they win+24→ 1608
If they lose-24→ 1560
Jacob RosalesNow 1583
If they win+12→ 1595
If they lose-12→ 1571

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1477 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
7.19
Not available
Strike accuracy
47%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
10.66
Not available
Strike defense
44%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.12
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Ben HolscherJacob Rosales
15501600200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
1 (25%)
Submission
4 (24%)
2 (50%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Jacob Rosales58%
Ben Holscher 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jacob Rosales a 58% favorite over Ben Holscher in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ben Holscher's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1583), separated by just 1 points.

Ben Holscher enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Ben Holscher finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jacob Rosales 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.