Ben Johnston vs Dylan Budka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record7-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height5'11"
75"Reach75″
185 lbsWeight189 lbs
The Fight CentreTeamDemolition Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1593
If they lose-24→ 1545
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ben JohnstonDylan Budka
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ben Johnston59%
Dylan Budka 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ben Johnston a 59% favorite over Dylan Budka in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dylan Budka's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1571), separated by just 2 points.
Dylan Budka enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ben Johnston finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Dylan Budka 43%.
Ben Johnston and Dylan Budka share 1 common opponent: Wes Schultz.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.