Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Johnston vs Fernando Gonzalez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record29-20-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height5'9"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
The Fight CentreTeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ben JohnstonNow 1569
If they win+24→ 1593
If they lose-24→ 1545
Fernando GonzalezNow 1567
If they win+12→ 1579
If they lose-12→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
1.80
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.06
TBD
Strike defense
66%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.57
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
TBD
Takedown defense
44%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.15

Trajectory

Ben JohnstonFernando Gonzalez
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
12 (41%)
4 (80%)
Submission
6 (21%)
0 (0%)
Decision
11 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Ben Johnston70%
Fernando Gonzalez 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ben Johnston a 70% favorite over Fernando Gonzalez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1567), separated by just 2 points.

Fernando Gonzalez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ben Johnston finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Fernando Gonzalez 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.