Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Johnston vs Joe Vedepo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Vedepo
us

Joe Vedepo

“The Doctor”

20-10-0Light HeavyweightEFL

1568Solid

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record20-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
The Fight CentreTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ben JohnstonNow 1569
If they win+24→ 1593
If they lose-24→ 1545
Joe VedepoNow 1568
If they win+12→ 1580
If they lose-12→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
3.28
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
23.88
TBD
Strike defense
38%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.48
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ben JohnstonJoe Vedepo
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
7 (37%)
4 (80%)
Submission
10 (53%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Ben Johnston66%
Joe Vedepo 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ben Johnston a 66% favorite over Joe Vedepo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1568), separated by just 1 points.

Joe Vedepo enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ben Johnston finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Joe Vedepo 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.