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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Johnston vs Lucio Linhares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record19-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'2"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ben JohnstonNow 1568
If they win+24→ 1592
If they lose-24→ 1544
Lucio LinharesNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
0.99
Not available
Strike accuracy
23%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.47
Not available
Strike defense
35%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.86
Not available
Takedown accuracy
50%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.86

Trajectory

Ben JohnstonLucio Linhares
155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (32%)
4 (80%)
Submission
8 (42%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Ben Johnston54%
Lucio Linhares 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ben Johnston a 54% favorite over Lucio Linhares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1568 vs 1568), separated by just 0 points.

Ben Johnston finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Lucio Linhares 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.