Ben Johnston vs Luke Barnatt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record15-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'6"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
The Fight CentreTeamTsunami Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1592
If they lose-24→ 1544
If they win+12→ 1579
If they lose-12→ 1555
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ben JohnstonLuke Barnatt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Barnatt58%
Ben Johnston 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Barnatt a 58% favorite over Ben Johnston in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ben Johnston's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1568 vs 1567), separated by just 1 points.
Luke Barnatt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ben Johnston finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Luke Barnatt 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.