Combat Edge Intelligence

Ben Johnston vs Matt Horwich

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record30-25-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
The Fight CentreTeamLegends MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ben JohnstonNow 1569
If they win+24→ 1593
If they lose-24→ 1545
Matt HorwichNow 1567
If they win+12→ 1579
If they lose-12→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ben JohnstonMatt Horwich
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (20%)
4 (80%)
Submission
21 (70%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Ben Johnston70%
Matt Horwich 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ben Johnston a 70% favorite over Matt Horwich in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1567), separated by just 2 points.

Matt Horwich enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ben Johnston finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matt Horwich 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.